Business Management

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  SPILLOVER EFFECTS BETWEEN INDOCHINA METAL FUTURES MARKETS

  India and China have been at the top of the exporter, importer, producer and consumer economies. The two neighbouring countries provide the largest market in the world. They also share a similar history of development of their commodity derivatives markets. This paper aims to examine the direction of causality and spillover effect between the ... India and China have been at the top of the exporter, importer, producer and consumer economies. The two neighbouring countries provide the largest market in the world. They also share a similar history of development of their commodity derivatives markets. This paper aims to examine the direction of causality and spillover effect between the metal futures markets of the two economies. The analysis is done for metals such as copper, aluminium, zinc and gold in the period 2009 - 2020 by using Granger causality and Dynamic Conditional Correlation -GARCH (DCC-GARCH) models. The gold futures at the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) have a unidirectional causality on the gold futures traded at Shanghai Futures Exchanges (SHFE), unlike other metals having bidirectional causality. Similarly, GARCH results report only long-term volatility spillover for gold futures returns, while for the base metals, both short-term and long spillover exist. The findings indicate that the Indian metals futures market has started to influence the Chinese metal futures. The results have important implications for policymakers, regulators, industrialists and offshore traders of physical commodities in hedging their positions.

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  MARKET CAPITALIZATION FACTORS OF THE BULGARIAN PHARMACEUTICAL SECTOR IN PANDEMIC ENVIRONMENT

  The article is focused on the changes of the market capitalization in the Bulgarian pharmaceutical sector during the COVID-19 pandemic. The aim of the article is to measure and justify the impact of a set of factors that affect the market capitalization of public companies from the Bulgarian pharmaceutical sector in a pandemic environment. The ... The article is focused on the changes of the market capitalization in the Bulgarian pharmaceutical sector during the COVID-19 pandemic. The aim of the article is to measure and justify the impact of a set of factors that affect the market capitalization of public companies from the Bulgarian pharmaceutical sector in a pandemic environment. The main performance indicator under consideration is the market capitalization of the leading pharmaceutical companies included in the BGBX40 stock exchange index during the two-year pandemic period (from June 2020 until May 2022). For the purpose of the research, a multiple linear regression model (OLS) is employed with the help of GRETL open-source software. Four of the selected eight impact factors are related to the sales of medical products; three are related to COVID-19 statistics and the last is a stock market index. The results from the analyses evidence a strong relationship between the impact factors and the market capitalization of Bulgarian pharmaceutical companies during the pandemic. The coefficient of determination shows that 96% of the change in the market capitalization could be explained by the change in the factors included in the model. The growth of the market capitalization of the studied Bulgarian companies over a period of 2 years is comparable to that of the world leading pharmaceutical companies that offer COVID-19 vaccines.

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  HOUSEHOLD EXPENDITURE DURING A PANDEMIC: COVID-19 AND THE CASE OF BULGARIA

  This article examines the expenditures of Bulgarian households during the COVID-19 pandemic. It specifies the theoretical and methodological features of the concepts of the household total and monetary expenditures and outlines their structure and specific characteristics. It also proves that the amount of total consumer expenditure is greater ... This article examines the expenditures of Bulgarian households during the COVID-19 pandemic. It specifies the theoretical and methodological features of the concepts of the household total and monetary expenditures and outlines their structure and specific characteristics. It also proves that the amount of total consumer expenditure is greater than the amount of monetary consumer expenditure. The structure and dynamics of the total expenditure average per household and per person are analyzed, deriving the factors that affect the trends in the change of the studied categories. The object of study is household total expenditure, and the subject involves the supposed role of COVID-19 as a factor that affects the state and dynamics of household total expenditure and/or its structure in Bulgaria. The conclusion is that there is a negative pandemic impact, but it should not be overestimated and/or dramatized.