APPLICATION OF BEHAVIORAL FINANCE IN MODELING BULGARIAN EQUITY RISK PREMIUM

Authors

Keywords
behavioral finance, equity risk premium puzzle, market efficiency, capital markets, required return

Abstract
The paper seeks a plausible explanation of the magnitude of equity risk premium, by modeling leading behavioral concepts in the conditions of Bulgarian capital market. Firstly, the fair equity risk premium is derived by basic neoclassical consumption-based model. Subsequently, the conducted comparison between fair and empirical risk premium indicates that the demanded compensation by investors for owning Bulgarian stocks cannot be rationally explained, i.e. there is an equity risk premium puzzle on BSE. On this basis, we have applied a behavioral model based on two well-known characteristics of human behavior in conditions of risk and uncertainty – loss aversion and narrow framing. Set at reasonable levels of risk and loss aversion, the model has managed to generate risk-free rate and market returns close to empirical levels.

JEL: G10, G14
Pages: 32

To view the full text of the article click on the relevant button below.

More titles

  • ANALYSIS OF METHODS FOR BRAND EQUITY VALUATION

    The impact of brands has become more powerful than ever in the contemporary world and brand managers are aware that brand growth and expansion are essential for the increase of sales and the development of companies in general. Leading companies like Xerox and Coca-Cola report that brand is as important to their performance as factories, ...

  • THE NEED TO EVALUATE ECOSYSTEM BENEFITS

    To preserve our environment means to preserve the soil, the water, and the natural resources, i.e. life on our planet. And indeed, unspoilt nature is not only a prerequisite, but also valuable capital for doing business successfully, i.e. developing eco-tourism, organic farming, sustainable forestry, etc. On the one hand, managerial decisions ...

  • THE DEVELOPMENT AND STATE OF CONTEMPORARY AGRICULTURAL MARKETS

    The aim of this research is to outline some key trends in the development and state of contemporary global and Bulgarian agricultural markets. The research comprises the occurring changes in agricultural markets. The analysis of on-going transformations includes the state and dynamics of their global dimensions, and the influence of social, ...