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Ravi Kumar, Babli Dhiman
SPILLOVER EFFECTS BETWEEN INDOCHINA METAL FUTURES MARKETS
Abstract:
India and China have been at the top of the exporter, importer, producer and consumer economies. The two neighbouring countries provide the largest market in the world. They also share a similar history of development of their commodity derivatives markets. This paper aims to examine the direction of causality and spillover effect between the metal futures markets of the two economies. The analysis is done for metals such as copper, aluminium, zinc and gold in the period 2009 - 2020 by using Granger causality and Dynamic Conditional Correlation -GARCH (DCC-GARCH) models. The gold futures at the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) have a unidirectional causality on the gold futures traded at Shanghai Futures Exchanges (SHFE), unlike other metals having bidirectional causality. Similarly, GARCH results report only long-term volatility spillover for gold futures returns, while for the base metals, both short-term and long spillover exist. The findings indicate that the Indian metals futures market has started to influence the Chinese metal futures. The results have important implications for policymakers, regulators, industrialists and offshore traders of physical commodities in hedging their positions.
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Liubov Ivchenko, Nataliia Pohuda, Olena Sushchenko
THE ROLE OF INTERNET RESOURCES AND SOCIAL MEDIA IN THE STRATEGIC DEVELOPMENT OF TOURISM
Abstract:
The article is devoted to the study of the influence of Internet resources, social networks in particular, on the dynamics of inbound world tourist flows. A 30-year dynamic series of the number of Internet users with 5-year periods has been studied. Modeling this indicator with a linear trend has made it possible to obtain estimates of the average annual increase in the number of Internet users for certain periods. An analysis of factors is provided, which has influenced the dynamics of tourist flows and growth quantity and users of the global network for the period 2005-2023. It is determined that social networks play a significant role in the growth of the number of Internet users, which has a more quantitative impact for them, and a qualitative impact on tourism. The influence of the emergence and development of social networks and the most popular tourist websites on changes in the number of travelers is analyzed. Quantitative assessment of this relationship using regression analysis methods is proposed. Methods of analysis and synthesis, generalization and comparison, modeling, correlation and regression analysis are used in the research process.
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Alla Alexeyeva
ANALYTICAL PROCEDURES IN SALES FORCASTING BASED ON FACTORS OF INFLUENCE
Abstract:
The article discusses the analytical procedures that can be used by the auditor at the stage of obtaining information, such as the verification of the procedures in order to collect direct evidence of the errors, irregularities and false statements in financial reporting. The proposed methodology for the prediction of outcome indicators based on the "factors of influence” over the example of sales volume can be a simple and reliable tool in the arsenal of the auditor.
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Svetlana Nikolova
RESEARCH ON THE CORRELATION BETWEEN INNOVATIVE ACTIVITIES AND COMPETITIVENESS IN BULGARIAN COMPANIES
Abstract:
This article throws light on the theoretical and practical aspects of the existing bilateral correlation between innovative activity, innovative activities and company competitiveness. In the course of this analysis it is emphasised that, on the one hand, the level of company competitiveness in organisations which determines the intensity of innovative activities is the result of the state of the competitive environment. On the other hand, the innovative activities of companies which determines the degree of their company competitiveness is also the result of the state of this external compet¬itive environment. This means that a bilateral correlation exists between the innovative activities of organisations and their company competitiveness, and it is dependent on the state of the external competitive environment (i.e. it is the uniting link in this correlation).
